Global Strategic Structure - Speculative

Thesis:

Given,

  - n-party political systems evolve/devolve into binary or unitary
    party systems.

  - a binary system is stable provided each individual party is stable.

  - no truly global unitary system has ever existed.

  - historicaly we see multi-party systems devolve into 2-3 primary
    parties.

  - it may be possible that the US is the first country in history to
    reach the unitary model.

  - that unitary position, if it exists, is not total, there being at
    least 1 3rd world level participant. in fact there being 200+ such
    parties.

Then,

  - does the unitary position evolve/devolve back to a n-party system
    where the unitary party is either eliminated or reduced in stature.

  - is it reasonable that a single governmental system can possibly
    manage a global resource pool.

  - will we then see an averaging of political systems across the total
    set of parties.

  - is it possible, considering the range of human desires & beliefs, that
    a multiplicity at todays level of parties is a stable state, because of
    the averaging effect. In effect creating a global government rule-set
    for inter-national and intra-national behaviour. the root cause being
    that this averaging reduces the pay-off for violence and maximizes the
    pay-off for cooperating.


    ____________________________________________________________________
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   |  -====~~mm-'`-```-mm --'-                         Jim Choate       |
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At 11:20 pm -0500 on 11/24/97, Jim Choate wrote:



>   - a binary system is stable provided each individual party is stable.

Nit:
    - it is hypothesized that the reason that the US has a "binary",
two-"party" system is because of it's "winner-take-all" electoral system.
Proportional representation yields a multiplicity of "parties" up to some
multiple of the "party acceptance" threshold, as a percentage of the
electorate...

;-).

Cheers,
Bob Hettinga

-----------------
Robert Hettinga (rah@shipwright.com), Philodox
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