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Jim Bell... lives... on... in... Hollywood!

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NODE 2bb66f29Jim Bell... lives... on... in... Hollywood!
Anyone noticed this before?

------- Start of forwarded message -------
Date: 1 Jan 1998 09:54:51 -0000
Message-ID: <19980101095451.25998.qmail@suburbia.net>
From: proff@suburbia.net
To: proff@suburbia.net
Subject:home.html


   
                           Scoop the Grim Reaper!
                                      
                               Who will live?
                                      
                               Who will die?
                                      
        And who will win the grand prize in Dewey's Death Pool -- an
   all-expense paid, two-day Hollywood Death Tour for two. Or one of four
          quarterly prizes -- a fabulous celebrity death library.
                                      
     It's fun, it's easy -- and all you have to do to win is correctly
     forecast more celebrity deaths for the calendar year 1998 than any
                               other entrant.
                                      
    Here's how it works: Between now and December 31, 1997, fill out an
   entry form, listing your picks in descending likelihood of death. For
     instance, if you believe Celebrity X is a cinch to die within the
   year, list him or her in the No. 1 slot, followed by your second most
     likely choice in the No. 2 slot, etc. For tie-breaking reasons, a
   correct pick in the top slot is worth 10 points, a correct pick in the
    second is worth 9 points, and so forth. (Please list an alternative
      name in the event that one of your choices dies before the game
   begins. The alternative will be substituted in the empty slot and you
              will not receive credit for the original name.)
                                      
     At the end of the year, the contestant with the most correct picks
   wins. If there's a tie, the winner will be the person with the highest
     point total. In the event of a point-tie, the contestant with the
          youngest decedent will win. Judges' decisions are final.
                                      
     In addition, quarterly prizes (an assortment of guide books, maps,
   videos and other celebrity death memoribilia) will be awarded for the
   most correct picks within the four three-month intervals ending 11:59
    EST on March 31, June 30, September 30 and December 31, 1998. In the
   event of ties, tie-breaker rules described above apply. Standings will
                     be updated on the site regularly.
                                      
   To qualify as a correct "hit," a death must be noted in one or more of
   the following publications: New York Times, Los Angeles Times, U.S.A.
                      Today, Time, Newsweek or People.
                                      
     Paid obituaries do not count; the death notice MUST appear in the
      context of a news story, roundup item or editorial obituary. If
   someone's death is not mentioned in one of the above publications, you
                          will not receive credit.
                                      
    You will not receive credit for a death if you somehow contribute to
   that person's demise. If there's any dispute over the exact date of a
    celebrity's demise, information listed on the death certificate will
                                  prevail.
                                      
    Dewey's Death Pool is open to residents of the 50 United States and
      the District of Columbia who are 18 years or older. For complete
                       rules, see the Official Rules.
                                  [INLINE]
                            home | entry | rules
                                      
     _________________________________________________________________
                                      
                       Back to Webb Page Confidential

------- End of forwarded message -------
NODE 035716eaRe: Jim Bell... lives... on... in... Hollywood!
At 2:52 AM -0800 1/1/98, Julian Assange wrote:
>Anyone noticed this before?
>
>------- Start of forwarded message -------
>Date: 1 Jan 1998 09:54:51 -0000
>Message-ID: <19980101095451.25998.qmail@suburbia.net>
>From: proff@suburbia.net
>To: proff@suburbia.net
>Subject:home.html
>
>
>
>                           Scoop the Grim Reaper!
>
>                               Who will live?
>
>                               Who will die?

Yeah, a few people pointed this out when Bell's "Assassination Politics"
stuff began hitting the CP list, circa fall of 1995.

--Tim May

The Feds have shown their hand: they want a ban on domestic cryptography
---------:---------:---------:---------:---------:---------:---------:----
Timothy C. May              | Crypto Anarchy: encryption, digital money,
ComSec 3DES:   408-728-0152 | anonymous networks, digital pseudonyms, zero
W.A.S.T.E.: Corralitos, CA  | knowledge, reputations, information markets,
Higher Power: 2^2,976,221   | black markets, collapse of governments.
"National borders aren't even speed bumps on the information superhighway."
NODE 3dc122d6Re: Jim Bell... lives... on... in... Hollywood!
On Thu, Jan 01, 1998 at 09:52:20PM +1100, Julian Assange wrote:
> 
> Anyone noticed this before?

No.  But there are two obvious differences between this and the Bell 
plan:  1) it's not anon; 2) you are explicitly barred from winning if 
you contribute in any way to the death.
[...]
>     You will not receive credit for a death if you somehow contribute to
>    that person's demise. If there's any dispute over the exact date of a
>     celebrity's demise, information listed on the death certificate will
>                                   prevail.
>                                       
>     Dewey's Death Pool is open to residents of the 50 United States and
>       the District of Columbia who are 18 years or older. For complete
>                        rules, see the Official Rules.

So you have to provide proof of age to claim...
[...]

-- 
Kent Crispin				"No reason to get excited",
kent@songbird.com			the thief he kindly spoke...
PGP fingerprint:   B1 8B 72 ED 55 21 5E 44  61 F4 58 0F 72 10 65 55
http://songbird.com/kent/pgp_key.html
NODE 08b13adcRe: Jim Bell... lives... on... in... Hollywood!
At 10:48 PM 1/7/98 -0800, Sergey Goldgaber wrote:
>On Thu, 1 Jan 1998, Kent Crispin wrote:
>
>> On Thu, Jan 01, 1998 at 09:52:20PM +1100, Julian Assange wrote:
>> > 
>> > Anyone noticed this before?
>> 
>> No.  But there are two obvious differences between this and the Bell 
>> plan:  1) it's not anon; 2) you are explicitly barred from winning if 
>> you contribute in any way to the death.
>
>1 - Anonymity is technically feasable.
>
>2 - This requirement is a legal necessity.  Otherwise, the organization
>    may be seen as advocating murder.
>
>Obviously, if the "Death Pool" was fully anonymous, there would be
>no way to tell if the winner had contributed in any way to the death.
>
>Thus, I think we may be well on our way to Assasination Politics.
>
> - Sergey Goldgaber

I agree, but "contribute to death" needs to be operationalized.  Here's a
proposal:
If a homicide suspect is arrested within N months, they will be isolated
from the net
and the owner of the winning ID will have to perform a challenge-response.
Since
the suspect couldn't have replied, they are different; if a pair
collaborated, well,
when a hit man is caught, his payoff matrix will usually make him turn in
the client.

The N-months might be a weakness since there is no expiration time on
homicide.
But in cases where cause of death is known and it can be proved that the
incarcerated is not the winner, it looks good.  E.g., a bet that "more than
two BATF agents will be blown up in 97" would be safely payable now that those
fellows with the short haircuts have been convicted.





------------------------------------------------------------
      David Honig                   Orbit Technology
     honig@otc.net                  Intaanetto Jigyoubu

	"How do you know you are not being deceived?" 
	---A Compendium of Analytic TradeCraft Notes, 
	Directorate of Intelligence, CIA
NODE 83bb1d45Re: Jim Bell... lives... on... in... Hollywood!
On Thu, 1 Jan 1998, Kent Crispin wrote:

> On Thu, Jan 01, 1998 at 09:52:20PM +1100, Julian Assange wrote:
> > 
> > Anyone noticed this before?
> 
> No.  But there are two obvious differences between this and the Bell 
> plan:  1) it's not anon; 2) you are explicitly barred from winning if 
> you contribute in any way to the death.

1 - Anonymity is technically feasable.

2 - This requirement is a legal necessity.  Otherwise, the organization
    may be seen as advocating murder.

Obviously, if the "Death Pool" was fully anonymous, there would be
no way to tell if the winner had contributed in any way to the death.

Thus, I think we may be well on our way to Assasination Politics.

 - Sergey Goldgaber